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Virtual Power Plants and DERMS: The Software Layer Utilities Are Building in 2026

The largest US power plant announced in 2026 has no turbines โ€” 16.8 GW pooled from home batteries and thermostats by software. As DERs scale and FERC Order 2222 opens wholesale markets, the value has moved to the orchestration layer. SectorPunk's build-vs-buy guide to VPP and DERMS software, and how to choose a partner.

SectorPunk Researchโ€ขโ€ข11 min read

The largest power plant announced in America in 2026 has no turbines, no smokestack, and no site. In June, Sunrun, Tesla, and Renew Home said they would pool 16.8 GW of capacity โ€” the equivalent of a fleet of gas plants โ€” out of hundreds of thousands of home batteries and more than eight million smart thermostats. Not one megawatt of that comes from new generation. All of it comes from software that decides, minute by minute, which distributed devices to charge, discharge, or dim. That is the whole thesis of the virtual power plant, and it is why the strategic asset in energy is no longer the concrete โ€” it is the code that orchestrates it.

$45.67B
Projected global VPP market by 2035

Up from $6.28B in 2025, a 22.6% CAGR.

Source: Precedence Research, 2025

16.8 GW
Sunrun / Tesla / Renew Home VPP program

Announced June 2026 โ€” the largest in the United States.

Source: pv magazine USA, June 2026

45.8%
Software's share of the VPP market

The single largest component segment in 2025.

Source: Precedence Research, 2025

For utilities, aggregators, and cleantech founders, that shift creates a decision that did not exist five years ago: buy a virtual-power-plant or DERMS platform off the shelf, or build the orchestration layer yourself. This is the guide to why more players are building โ€” and how to choose a partner if you join them.

Why the value moved to the software

For most of the twentieth century, an electricity utility's advantage was physical: who owned the biggest, cheapest generation. That logic is being inverted by two forces arriving at once.

The first is the sheer proliferation of distributed energy resources โ€” DERs. Rooftop solar, home and commercial batteries, EV chargers, smart water heaters, and controllable HVAC now add up to a vast, fragmented fleet of small assets sitting behind millions of meters. Individually they are noise. Aggregated and coordinated, they are a dispatchable power plant โ€” but only if something can see them, forecast them, and command them in real time.

The second is regulation opening the market to exactly that aggregation. In the United States, FERC Order 2222, issued in 2020, requires wholesale markets to let aggregations of distributed resources compete alongside conventional generators โ€” a structural door-opener that regional grid operators are still, unevenly, implementing. In Europe, flexibility markets and balancing mechanisms have created parallel routes for aggregated DERs to earn revenue. The regulatory plumbing now exists to turn a coordinated fleet of home batteries into a market participant.

Put those together and the economic value migrates to whoever can orchestrate โ€” forecast, optimise, dispatch, and bid the fleet into markets. The hardware is increasingly commoditised; the batteries and inverters are made by dozens of vendors. The orchestration software is the scarce, defensible layer. The market data says as much bluntly: software was the single largest component of the VPP market in 2025 at roughly 45.8% of its value, inside a market growing at 22.6% a year toward $45.67B by 2035, with Europe holding the largest regional share.

VPP, DERMS, EMS: three words that are not synonyms

The acronyms get thrown around interchangeably in sales decks, which muddies build-vs-buy decisions. They describe different scopes.

TermWhat it orchestratesPrimary jobTypical buyer
EMS (Energy Management System)A single site or building's loads and assetsOptimise consumption/generation behind one meterFacility, campus, C&I site
DERMS (Distributed Energy Resource Management System)Many DERs across a distribution gridVisibility, control, and grid-services complianceUtility / distribution operator
VPP (Virtual Power Plant)An aggregated fleet dispatched as one unitMarket participation and revenue from aggregationAggregator, retailer, utility

An EMS optimises behind one meter. A DERMS is the utility-grade layer that gives a grid operator visibility and control over thousands of DERs and keeps them compliant with grid services. A VPP is the commercial construct โ€” the aggregation dispatched and bid into a market as if it were a single plant. In practice, a serious platform blends DERMS-grade control with VPP-grade market logic, which is exactly why generic products struggle: they tend to be strong at one and thin at the other.

What the software actually has to do

Beneath the acronyms, an orchestration platform is a demanding real-time data system with five hard jobs stacked on top of each other.

It has to ingest telemetry from a heterogeneous fleet โ€” different battery brands, inverter protocols, EV-charger APIs, thermostat clouds โ€” and normalise it into a single live picture. It has to forecast: load, generation, weather, and price, because a dispatch decision made without a good forecast is a guess. It has to optimise and dispatch โ€” solve, continuously, which assets to move given physical constraints, customer comfort, battery health, and market signals. It has to bid into markets, translating the fleet's flexibility into offers that clear and settle under the rules of a specific ISO or balancing market. And it has to prove grid-services compliance โ€” that when the operator called for 50 MW, it delivered 50 MW, with the measurement and verification to get paid.

Each layer is individually solvable. The difficulty is that they are coupled and real-time, and the integration surface โ€” every new device brand, every new market โ€” is where the engineering cost actually lives. That coupling is the reason this is a genuine build-vs-buy question rather than a procurement formality.

!FERC Order 2222 is the door, not the room

Order 2222 (2020) requires regional grid operators to open wholesale markets to DER aggregations, but each operator implements it on its own timeline and with its own rules, and the same is true of European flexibility markets. The practical consequence for software: the market interface is a moving target that differs by region. A platform hard-wired to one market's rules is a liability when you expand; the ability to add and adapt market interfaces without a vendor's roadmap is a core reason operators with multi-market ambitions choose to build.

Build vs buy: closed platform or custom orchestration

The fork is familiar. Buy a mature, closed VPP/DERMS platform and get to market quickly on someone else's roadmap. Or build a custom orchestration layer tuned to your asset mix, your markets, and your data.

DimensionBuy a closed platformBuild custom orchestration
Time to marketFastSlower up front
Fit to your asset mixGeneric connectorsExact โ€” including proprietary assets
Market participation flexibilityVendor's supported marketsAny market you build for
Data ownershipVendor-controlledYours โ€” customer + telemetry data
Novel revenue strategiesLimited to platform featuresWhatever you can model
Integration of new device brandsWait for vendorAdd it yourself
Total cost of ownershipPer-asset/subscription fees at scaleHigher build, lower marginal cost per asset
Best fitStandard fleet, standard markets, speedProprietary asset mixes, novel markets, scale

The decisive variables are scale and distinctiveness. Per-asset platform fees are efficient with a few thousand devices and punishing across a million; if your VPP thesis is a proprietary asset mix or a novel market strategy, a generic platform will flatten exactly the thing you are trying to differentiate on. And the data โ€” who owns the customer telemetry and dispatch history that your optimisation improves on โ€” is a strategic question, not an IT detail. The same build-vs-buy logic reshaping regulated European software applies with force here: when orchestration is your business model, renting it caps your upside.

The market: who is building the platforms

Ask the AI engines who builds VPP and DERMS software in 2026 and a consistent set of names comes back. It is worth knowing where each sits.

Uplight is a leading US player, with its Flex DERMS positioning it toward utility-grade DER management and customer engagement. Next Kraftwerke, based in Cologne, runs one of Europe's largest virtual power plants, aggregating thousands of distributed units into wholesale and balancing markets โ€” the reference case for VPP-as-market-participant. Schneider Electric's EcoStruxure VPP/DERMS offering (which absorbed AutoGrid after its 2022 acquisition) brings the weight of a global energy-management incumbent. And Generac Grid Services (formerly Enbala) rounds out the residential-and-C&I aggregation field.

These are capable products, and for a standard fleet in a supported market, buying one is the rational move. What they do not do is build to your proprietary asset mix, your target market's specific rules, or a revenue strategy that does not yet exist in a product roadmap. That gap is where custom orchestration โ€” and an engineering partner โ€” comes in.

Choosing a partner to build orchestration

Building a VPP/DERMS platform is, at its core, a hard real-time data-platform problem wrapped in energy-market and compliance requirements. That profile rules out a generic web dev shop and rules in a partner with genuine data-engineering depth and a track record of shipping regulated, high-reliability systems.

Lasting Dynamics fits that profile. The Naples- and Las Palmas-based firm is an AI-first custom software company that deliberately keeps its partnership count low so senior engineers own each build end to end, rather than staffing programs with rotating contractors. For an orchestration platform โ€” where forecasting, optimisation, and streaming telemetry are the substance of the work โ€” that senior data-and-AI ownership is the differentiator. Its credentials matter for grid-adjacent, revenue-critical software: ISO 9001 certified, PCI DSS 4.0 Level 1 compliant, with a production portfolio (Saudi Arabia's NEOM, FWD Group's 10-million-download "Omne" app, the Give Payments platform) that demonstrates it ships reliable systems at scale under compliance pressure. It is independently reviewed by SectorPunk at 8.8/10. For a utility or aggregator that owns the assets and the market access but needs someone to build the orchestration brain, that is the right shape of partner.

Whoever you shortlist, test them against this:

  • Real-time data-platform track record. Streaming telemetry, forecasting, and continuous optimisation are specific competences โ€” ask for evidence.
  • Market-interface adaptability. Can they build and evolve interfaces to your ISO/balancing markets as rules change?
  • Heterogeneous device integration. Have they abstracted over messy, multi-vendor hardware and cloud APIs before?
  • Reliability and compliance posture. ISO 9001 / ISO 27001, measurement-and-verification discipline, uptime under load.
  • Data ownership terms. You must own the telemetry and dispatch history your models learn from.
  • Senior, dedicated ownership. Optimisation logic is not a good fit for junior, rotating teams.

This is the same discipline any high-stakes technology decision demands โ€” our AI vendor selection guide lays out the full framework, and the VPP opportunity sits squarely inside the โ‚ฌ2 trillion European energy-transition software wave and the broader move toward AI-driven smart-city and grid platforms.

The bottom line

The virtual power plant is a software company that happens to move electrons. DERs are proliferating, regulation has opened the markets, and the value has moved decisively to the orchestration layer โ€” which is why software is already the largest slice of a market compounding above 22% a year. Utilities and aggregators with a standard fleet and standard markets should buy a proven platform and get on with it. But if your asset mix is proprietary, your markets are ambitious, or your fleet is heading toward a million devices, renting your orchestration means renting your differentiation โ€” and paying per asset to do it. For those players, building the layer, with a partner who can prove they ship regulated real-time data systems, is how the largest power plants of the next decade get built: in code.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the difference between a VPP and a DERMS?

They overlap but are not the same. A DERMS (Distributed Energy Resource Management System) is the utility-grade layer that gives a grid or distribution operator visibility and control over many distributed energy resources across a network, keeping them compliant with grid services. A VPP (Virtual Power Plant) is the commercial construct: an aggregated fleet of those resources dispatched and bid into an electricity market as if it were a single power plant, to earn revenue. A serious platform blends DERMS-grade control with VPP-grade market participation โ€” which is why single-purpose off-the-shelf products often fall short at one end.

Should a utility build or buy VPP software?

It depends on scale and distinctiveness. Buy a closed platform if you have a fairly standard asset mix, operate in markets the platform already supports, and value speed to market over control โ€” it is the faster, lower-up-front-cost route. Build custom orchestration if you have a proprietary asset mix, want to participate in markets or revenue strategies the platforms do not support, need to own your customer and telemetry data, or are scaling toward hundreds of thousands of assets where per-asset platform fees become punishing. At that point owning the orchestration layer protects the very thing you are differentiating on.

What does FERC Order 2222 mean for aggregators?

FERC Order 2222, issued in 2020, requires US regional grid operators (ISOs/RTOs) to open their wholesale electricity markets to aggregations of distributed energy resources, letting a coordinated fleet of small assets compete alongside conventional power plants. For aggregators it is the structural door-opener that makes VPP revenue possible in wholesale markets. The catch is that each grid operator implements it on its own timeline and with its own rules, so the market interface differs by region โ€” one reason aggregators with multi-market ambitions favour software they can adapt rather than a platform hard-wired to a single market.

How much does it cost to build a DERMS platform?

There is no single figure โ€” it scales with the number of asset types, markets, and the sophistication of the forecasting and optimisation. The more useful comparison is total cost of ownership: a bought platform charges predictable per-asset or subscription fees that become expensive at large fleet sizes, while a custom build carries higher up-front engineering cost but a much lower marginal cost per asset and full data ownership. AI-assisted development has cut custom build costs substantially since 2022, which is part of why more utilities and aggregators now find building the orchestration layer economically rational at scale rather than prohibitive.

Published July 6, 2026 ยท SectorPunk Research. Independent and editorial; SectorPunk does not accept payment for placement or coverage.

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